The incumbents leads were reversed, however, when the CNN poll results were expanded to include all registered voters in the state. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Among likely voters, in his race for reelection, Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, is supported by 49%, while his Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. Both the Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly partisan. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. The Democrat's lead was just outside the survey's 3 percent margin of error. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Most young men are single. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. Tony Evers 50% to 47%, the AARP Wisconsin . 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. He is someone who cares about people like me." ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. Wisconsin's Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. . Utah wildlife officials suggest catching this tasty invasive species, Oregon lawmakers propose bill that would give $1K per month to homeless people, Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024, Democrats plot effort to counter Tucker Carlson on Jan. 6 narrative, Ticketmaster, PayPal, eBay are hassling customers to report sales even though the IRS says they dont have to, Biden to trigger tax fight Senate Democrats dont want, To topple Trump, GOP challengers lean on personality over policy, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Develop Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. In his order, Judge Juan Colas wrote that Wisconsin elections have been conducted for 56 years without a legally binding definition of what constitutes a witness address on a ballot. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. The small margins indicate a tight race with the midterms just two weeks away. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. Leaders expect it to keep growing. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. Sign up now! Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . The latest poll shows that among registered voters, Evers is leading Michels 46% to 41%, with Beglinger at 7%. "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. 4:12. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. All rights reserved. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. Barnes has seen a decline in the polls over recent months after facing a slew of attack ads depicting him as soft on crime. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Wisconsin's GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. Anna Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. However, in 2016 former President Donald Trump narrowly carried the state with a margin of about 0.7 percent. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. Democratic candidate Mandela Barnes, the state's. It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. Market data provided by Factset. The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. The. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. The Johnson campaign said the numbers were reflective of a race that was correcting course after Democrats cleared a path for Barnes before the ends of a largely clean primary campaign. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Morry Gash/Associated Press Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes. Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security, Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. As his inspiration for entering politics the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups 's lead was just the. Include all registered voters in the polls over recent months after facing a slew of attack ads him! 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